Parametric Approach to Geo-Ecological Studies of Hydrocarbon Development in the Offshore Area of the Caspian Sea

Citation: Bukharitsin PI, Bukharitsin AP, Yu IA, Gindiev MA, Eldarov EM, et al. (2020) Parametric Approach to Geo-Ecological Studies of Hydrocarbon Development in the Offshore Area of the Caspian Sea. Int J Earth Sci Geophys 6:036 Accepted: August 13, 2020; Published: August 15, 2020 Copyright: © 2020 Bukharitsin PI, et al. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. *Corresponding author: Bukharitsin PI, Institute of Water Problems; Institute of Oceanology, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia; Astrakhan State Technical University, Astrakhan, Russia


Introduction
The Caspian Sea is the largest land locked body of water on Earth, located in the inner region of Eurasia, which was isolated in the Middle Pliocene about 5-6 million years ago. The body of water rests on a multi-kilometer thickness of water-, oil-and

Research Concept
The Caspian Sea as an integral geophysical system: A traditional and new approaches to research. The traditional approach comes down to the notion that has been deeply rooted since the 18 th century that this sea as a closed drainless water body with an impenetrable bottom, the water balance of which is mainly regulated only by climate, i.e. ratio of river runoff and evaporation losses. Therefore, the mechanisms of adaptation of the inhabitants of the Caspian sea to abiotic environmental factors "reclamation" of outdated fields are unknown. This generally abnormal situation is enshrined in the "Safety Rules in Oil and Gas Industry" (SR 08-624-03), which impose very strict requirements of the Russian Gosgortekhnadzor to the well construction (Section 2.2), as well as to the prevention of open flowing of wells (Section 2.7.7). But they do not indicate specific ways of implementing such strict requirements.
The gap is observed in the state environmental acts: They also do not stipulate an algorithm for practical actions in abandoned marine fields. Therefore, following such run around and vague "rules", field personnel are forced to act at their own risk, hoping for success in the scientific search for reliable ways to predict dangerous processes in the depths of seas.
Current trends of supporting the environmental safety of marine activities are usually based on the notion that the main sources of oil pollution of the seas are external, which include operations at oil terminals, tanker accidents, operational discharges from oil-containing waste ships, accidental oil spills on drilling platforms, etc. [12]. Therefore, the marine environment control system adopted in our country and abroad still proceeds from the fact that the so-called zero discharge technology is supposedly able to fully ensure the safety of offshore oil and gas production. Thus, in particular, the Law of the Russian Federation "On Minerals" (Article 24) requires users of mineral recourses to strictly comply with the "Oil and oil product spill prevention and response plan" (OSPRP), as well as the requirements for Maximum Permissible Concentrations (MPC) of polluting substances in the marine environment (Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation No. 613 dated 08/21/2000, as amended on April 15, 2002, No. 240).
In fact, neither the technology of zero discharge, nor the POPSR and the MPC requirements fully ensure the safety of a number of offshore oil and gas fields, since they unreasonably exclude any other types of danger. These are sudden releases from the depths of the seas toxic fluids (groundwater, oil and gases) or the so-called griffins, which are usually accompanied by geodynamic movements of the depths: Earthquakes, subsidence or swelling of the seabed, underwater landslides, etc. Fountain hydrocarbon emissions (most often gaseous) account for 44.7% of the accidents and disasters in offshore are seen in the action of only exogenous processes caused by the radiant energy of the Sun, the circulation of sea water and air masses, the work of surface waters flowing into it, the vital activity of organisms, etc. Accordingly, a scientific assessment of the impact of centuries-long economic activity on the state of the Caspian sea mainly comes down to the analysis of chemical property and surface water regime. This creates a misconception that the supposedly "zero discharge" of anthropogenic pollutants is able to ensure the purity of the waters of the Caspian and thereby save the inhabitants of this sea, including seals, from extinction. The disadvantage of this point of view is that the lithosphere here is almost completely excluded from the abiotic and social links of the Caspian ecosystem.
A new parametric approach fills this gap focusing on the dialectics of the manifestation of geological and climatic-hydrological processes [10]. In this case we are talking about processes of a completely different geophysical nature, which have a common function expressed in their ability to cause serious damage to oil and gas fields and other types of economic activity carried out at the sea [11]. Our approach is based on the analysis of the data concerning, on the one hand, release of fluids of the earth's crust, i.e. groundwater (including metal-bearing solutions), mud, oil and gas, and on the other hand, catastrophic ice processes in the northern area of the sea We use as one of the illustrative examples, a very sad and little-known because of its secrecy, experience of the "ice battle" in the Caspian in the winter of 1953.

Standards for Study and Prevention of Natural Accidents in the Caspian Sea
Though the number of natural accidents at offshore oil and gas fields is growing every year, a methodology for their forecasting has not yet been developed. Even after a detailed study of the structural geology and lithology of deposits using modern methods of marine geophysics and exploration drilling, opening of oil and gas deposits is carried out to a large extent blindly, without accurate knowledge of the geomechanics of the rock mass and the regime of reservoir fluids. In addition, it is now becoming increasingly apparent that the danger of reservoir fluid blow increases in proportion to the aging of oil fields and is most characteristic of abandoned ones. But, unfortunately, effective methods of escaping such a danger and ated by the oil company LUKOI (Open joint stock company). Following the recommendations of the State Ecological Expertise of Rosprirodnadzor, the company's management, in collaboration with the Institute of Oceanology RAS in 2012, for the first time in our country approved the "Regulation of geodynamic monitoring" at the field named after Yu. Korchagin. Currently Lukoil is implementing such regulations in other Caspian offshore fields. Work is much weaker in organizing climate-glaciological studies of the occurrence, process and consequences of natural disasters similar to the 53 "ice battle" in the North and Middle Caspian. Meanwhile an assessment of the intensity of ice and other hydrometeorological impacts that belong to the category of hazardous natural processes can be referred to a key link in the entire system for ensuring the industrial and environmental safety of oil and gas facilities in the Caspian Sea.
The complexity of the problem to be solved is determined, firstly, by the poorly studied windwave and ice impact on the Caspian oil and gas fields and, secondly, by the multifaceted nature of the tasks being solved due to the extremely high variability of the sea level position and ice cover of the Caspian Sea [3,16]. It is known that fluctuations in the level of the Caspian Sea reaching several meters during the estimated period of operation of hydraulic structures can lead to a significant redistribution of depths. Accordingly, the conditions for the formation of ice ridges and their impact on the objects of the marine economy are changing [5, 6,11]. A separate problem is in the secrecy of the materials required for professional analysis, diagnosis and prediction of catastrophic ice events in the Caspian [17,18].

Sudden Emissions of Mud, Oil and Gas from the Depths
Data on such natural disasters has been known since ancient times. An indicative example is the catastrophic collapse of the "60 Years of Azerbaijan" Self-propelled floating drilling rig (SPFDR) that occurred on September 9, 1983 near the eastern coast of the Middle Caspian. The drilling point was located in 23 km from the Cape Rakushechny, where the sea depth is 43 m. The calculated drilling depth was 4500 m. At a depth of 445 m, during the drilling of Oligocene clays, the washing fluid was interrupted by a breakthrough of gas-saturated formation fluids, and a sharp rise of mud solution fields. Most of these emissions (57%) result in ignition. In this case people die, drilling rigs and offshore oil fields are destroyed [13,14]. According to Rostekhnadzor, in recent years on lands in Russia the average number of uncontrolled emissions has been 5.5, and explosions and fires -5.1 [15].
In the context of the current expansion of the oil and gas industry on the Caspian shelf, there is a great need for reliable forecasts of accidents [12]. In this connection the Institute of Oceanolo- an comprehensive security system for oil and gas complexes on the continental shelf". This protocol prescribed, in particular, use of offshore drilling platforms as technological carriers for a comprehensive multilevel environmental and meteorological monitoring system, and in seismically active zones for geodynamic monitoring [15].
The main elements of a multi-level system, i.e., satellite, above-water, underwater, borehole and ground-based geodynamic monitoring have already been introduced and are performed in offshore oil and gas fields in the Caspian Sea, which are oper- from the interesting space began. A gas fountain rose from a well to a 50-meter height and an intensive washout of soil began under one of the supports of drilling rig system. As a result the derrick shifted and crashed down ( Figure 2). The accident at SPFDR "60 years of Azerbaijan" occurred at night in stormy weather. Two people died. The vessels arrived in time all night catching people from the water. Then the rescuers set fire to the gas so that it would not poison the atmosphere. A few days later the torch went out.
Another example is the accident at the "Tengiz" field in Western Kazakhstan (northeast coast of the Caspian Sea), which occurred on June 24, 1985. On this day, a powerful burning fountain of oil and natural gas saturated with hydrogen sulfide burst from a well of about 5 km from well No. 37 under a pressure of almost a thousand atmospheres. The fountain rose up to a height of more than 200 m, throwing a multi-ton string of drill pipes from the well to the surface and turning them into "pasta". At the same time, the nearby buildings were destroyed, and the fire raged for several months (Figure 3).
A team of liquidators was thrown into the fight against the accident, equipped with heavy-duty air transport for the delivery of equipment worth $2 million from the European warehouse "Cameron". The accident was eliminated only after four hundred days. As a result, plans to increase oil production in Kazakhstan from 18.7 million tons in 1981   The blockage of a deep well in the Gulf of Mexico required a tremendous strain of intelligence, technical and organizational capabilities with attraction of achievements of underwater robotics. All in all 5 thousand vessels and 40 thousand people participated in the operation. They started drilling of two discharge wells. Moreover, shutting-in of the well did not solve the problem of pollution control of the bay and the coastal zone. This problem stretches over many years and involves huge financial costs. The accident in the Gulf of Mexico is a serious warning to all oil companies which, in the pursuit of profit, are ready to take significant risks by mining offshore [19]. Obviously, repeat of such an accident in the Caspian Sea can turn this sea into a complete zone of environmental disaster.

Catastrophic Drift of Ridged Ices
The icebattle of 1953. Estimation of degree of impacts of ice formations in the northern part of the Caspian is an important aspect in ensuring the safety of hydrotechnical structures built in the water area of this sea [20,21]. The development of oil and gas resources of the Caspian Sea dictates the need for thorough study of ice impacts on hy-  Understanding the complexity of the situation, the government of the Dagestan Autonomous Soviet Socialist Republic decided to bombard the ice on the far approaches to the oil field and sprinkle the ice shell with coal powder for more intense melting. But neither one nor the other helped. The ice shell tightly squeezed the structures of the Izberg-Sea, and its destruction began. "The piers and platforms one after another fell apart like houses of cards. There were no icebreakers in the Caspian at that time, and even if they were, they could not cope with the force of nature. Two days later, only distorted fragments of structures stuck over the ice floes", -writes A. Simonyan [17]. To a lesser extent the piers of the Inchkhe-Sea deposit, located a few kilometers from the coast, were destroyed.
The ridged ice quickly moved south, and two days later a real ice battle began on the oil-producing piers of the Apsheron peninsula. When the ridged ice began to demolish the supports of piers, the military began to use explosives. The ice crumbled at the supports, passing part of the ice under them, but it immediately began to crush with renewed vigor and the spans went under water. Thus, huge sections of piers of 300-400 meters long with pipelines laid along them, power cables with lighting poles and platforms with operating wells slowly went to the bottom of the sea. Fortunately the oil workers managed to kill the wells and prevented the oil spill. Ice floes destroyed the oil fields of Artem-Sea, Gyurgyany-Sea and moved towards the Oil Rocks. This was the worst test for the oil industry, perhaps, in the entire history of their offshore production in the Caspian.
Weather reports daily convinced that the tragedy is inevitable for the Oil rocks. The management of the oil field decided to shut off the existing wells and send all personnel to the shore: Drillers, operators, electricians, builders, and doctors. There were only 50 officers on duty. This was a team consisting of firefighters and workers, two meteorologists, two radio operators and two specialists from "Azmorneft". They were faced with the task: To prevent a fire and if and when the structures collapsed, retreat to the south side of the oil field, where three torpedo boats of the Caspian flotilla were waiting for them in clear water. When the ice floes came into contact the first object of the Oil Rocks, a completely unexpected thing happened: The wind, drotechnical systems [5,18]. However, inferential research of the catastrophic drift of ice ridges is important, taking into account the laws of hydrodynamics of the Northern and Middle parts of the Caspian sea ( Figure 6).
The lack of reliable estimates of the intensity of the impact of ice ridges on the environment can lead to damage to engineering structures, including subsea pipelines and oil platforms. Thus, great cognitive value has the description of events that occurred in the western coast of the Caspian Sea in the winter of 1953 and were first published in the open press in the article by Artyom Simonyan ("Science and Life", No. 6,2002), who in those years worked as the chief engineer of the project of marine hydraulic structures at the "Gipromorneft" Institute [17]. He tells that in consequence of sharp warming in the northern part of the Caspian Sea, huge ice fields broke away from the fast ice and, driven by wind and sea current, sailed south. The first obstacle to the ice floe was the Izberbash field  Plowing gouges, light against the background of a darker bottom are clearly distinguishable from an airplane. A large number of gouges are observed in the North Caspian in spring, after cleansing from ice, when the water has not yet been stirred up by spring storms. Their density reaches 20-50, and in some places of 100 or more gouges per 1 km of the route. The duration of the existence of gouges in muddy soils is 2-3 years; in sandy soil, furrows are washed away by wave agitation for one season. Ice drift often leads to dramatic situations in the marine part of the Volga-Caspian Channel. During a sharp increase in the east and north-east winds, large masses of ice break away from the ice field in the central part of the North Caspian and begin to move to the west coast. At the same time, serious threats arise for ships moving along the marine part of the Volga-Caspian Channel. So, in February 1981, a large bulk carrier "Baku" with a displacement of 7 thousand tons was going along the channel. As a result of the wind-driven surge of sea water in the area and the impact of drifting ice, the bulk carrier was moved to a distance of more than 10 km from the fairway of the Volga-Caspian Channel. The icebreakers serving the Channel could not help the bulk carrier. The small-sitting tugboat, which was sent to the rescue, did not have enough strength to pull the bulk carrier aground (Figure 9). After the end of the surge wave and the freezing of the ice, the "Baku" bulk carrier was stuck in the shallow water of the North Caspian for a long time.
In those years, in order to facilitate carrying out the maritime operations, attempts were made to artificially crack ice in the Volga-Caspian and Ural-Caspian shipping canals. However, these measures did not give positive results, as the broken ice was shifted to the offshore part of the canals, where the flow velocity decreased, and the ice floes began to clog their channels, creating insurmountable obstacles for ships. In addition, frequent winds of the eastern and southeastern directions tore off and brought out new ice from the sea, which completely blocked the passage of ships and icebreakers into the sea for a long time. Thus, the practice of artificial ice breaking with the help of icebreakers in canals and shallow waters of the Northern Caspian had to be abandoned.
Destruction and ignition of the underwater gas pipeline. During the spring flood on the sea reach sharply, and they began to melt quickly. The people did not expect such an event. They were convinced that the tragedy on the Oil Rocks is inevitable [17].
After the "ice battle", drillers and builders had arush season. They began to restore lost wells, piers, sites and other hydraulic structures. Simultaneously they began to repair wells. And half a year later all the oil fields of Apsheron went into action newly. Oil production reached its previous level and quickly even exceeded it. As for the Izberg-Sea field they decided not to restore it because of the poverty of the oil-bearing layer.
Unfortunately, climate-glaciological studies of the occurrence, process, and consequences of hazardous natural processes in the Caspian, similar to the "ice battle" of 1953, have not yet been practically carried out.
The effect of drifting ice on shipping. All information on the ice thickness of the Caspian Sea, obtained as a result of long-term observations, is data on natural (thermal) build-up ice. The maximum thickness of such ice in the Northern Caspian is observed in January-February. But even in very severe winters its natural thickness, as a rule, does not exceed 50-60 cm in the northwestern and 80-90 cm in the northeastern part of the sea.
As experience shows, in the Caspian Sea ice cover is most often found in the form of pods and layers, the thickness of which significantly exceeds the thickness of the ice of natural growth. Strong winds, especially in the initial period of its formation contribute to the break-in of fast ice, drift and intense movements of floating ice. With thickness of 1 to 30 cm multifold laying of the ice takes place. The areas of the most intensive shifts in the North Caspian include the Astrakhan Sea Raid and the marine part of the Volga-Caspian Canal.
In mild and moderate winters the thickness of layered ice mainly depends on the wind, and in severe winters the influence of wind is weakened due to strong fast ice. Due to the shallow water and significant fluctuations in the level of the Caspian sea because of non-periodic water Raising-Lowering processes using wind, the ridged ice interacts with the bottom, forming gouging channels [5,6]. The width of such gouges varies from a few meters to 50-100 m or more. All gouges end in shafts formed by plowed soil. The height of some gouges exceeds the depth of the sea and they reach the surface in   and gas production. But, on the other hand, eruptions and ignition of fluids occur, as a rule, very unexpectedly and are accompanied by destructive explosions and proceed rapidly. Therefore, it is cus-tomary to regard the prediction of dangerous ex-ogenous-geological processes within the shelf sec-tions of hydrocarbon exploration or production as a more popular scientific and practical task. In our opinion, an equally serious approach to organizing and conducting research on hazardous processes of both geological and hydrometeorological genesis is required.

Conclusions and Recommendations
The existing research experience and instrumental observations of the development of oil and gas deposits in the Caspian sea water area convince us of the need to implement a parametric approach to geographical analysis and to predict the impact of hazardous natural processes on such develop-

ments.
On the one hand, it is necessary to significantly expand the front of scientific research aimed at preventing explosions and fires from gushing fluids in the oil and gas fields, often leading to destruction of drilling rigs and stationary oil platforms on the coast and at sea, as well as to sinking of floating oil platforms in the deep zone of the Caspian shelf.
mixture. There was a powerful explosion, as a re-sult of which the ship was thrown out on the bank by wave. Fortunately, people on the ship were not injured. The residents of the neighboring village of Rechnoye were also lucky: The wind blew in the opposite direction from the village, and there was no fire on the shore. Despite the fact that the gas pipeline was quickly blocked on both sides, the gas remaining in the pipe was burning out for many hours ( Figure 10).

Discussion
With the rapid growth of oil and gas extraction works and the increase of their impact on the environment, there is a need to justify new technical approaches that ensure reliable forecasts of the immediate and long-term consequences of the in-teraction of natural and production systems.
In geoecological studies of oil and gas develop-ment in the Caspian Sea, it seems to us timely to apply the approach that integrates geological and geographical knowledge and thus contributes to their mutual enrichment. The main aspects of such studies of oil and gas production in the Caspian are shown in the Table 1.
The Table 1 shows that, hazardous hydrometeorological processes compared with geological ones represent a wider range of threats to offshore oil  On the other hand, it is required comprehensive studies of the laws and features of the occurrence of storm surges in the Caspian Sea and the catastrophic drifts of ridged ice caused by them which leads to the destruction and sinking of various objects of oil and gas field activity: Stationary and floating oil platforms, oil and gas vessels, bottom pipelines and other coastal and marine hydrotechnical facilities and structures.
The results of our study allow us to formulate a number of most common practical tasks for overcoming, or at least mitigating, the danger of catastrophes, on the one hand, of a geological and, on the other hand, hydrometeorological nature: -Organization and implementation of satellite monitoring of the appearance of oil stains on the surface of the Caspian Sea; -Improving the reliability of scientific forecasts of accidental displacements and sudden releases of formation fluids in offshore oil and gas fields; -Development of the scientific basis for predicting and preventing disasters caused by storm movements in winter in the south-western and southern directions of the ice masses of the North Caspian; -Ecological and economic justification of transportation routes and the use of ports for transshipment of oil and gas products in the North and Middle Caspian, taking into account the threat of catastrophic effects of drifting ice.